Blind

May 22nd, 2012 3 comments

Something was very wrong.  I was typing on my laptop in the hotel when I suddenly found myself struggling to read the screen.

I sat back in my chair.  The afternoon mountain sunlight was filtering through the windows.  I lifted my hands up and started wiggling my fingers at various places around my head.  To my left, all was normal.  To my right, the situation was anything but.

When I wiggled my fingers to my right side, I could see no movement. I was partially blind.

Nothing in the right half of my right field of vision was visible.  It wasn’t black or even dark; no, it was simply missing.  It was similar to the effect you can see at your natural blind spot, in that my brain simply extrapolated out to fill the void.

I sat there for a moment, trying to decided first if the effect was real and second what I should do about it.

Wiggle wiggle. Nothing.  Wait.  Wiggle wiggle. Still nothing.

I turned to Tyler.  We were in Rico, Colorado on our way to photograph the solar eclipse in northern Arizona.

“So… something’s wrong,” I said in an understatement.  “I can’t see anything to the right of here,” holding up my right hand to show the start of my blind area.

“Do you want to go to the hospital?” Tyler asked.

“Not sure.”

Adding to the confusion, the vision loss spontaneously resolved itself after about 15 minutes only to recur 15 minutes after that.

I hemmed and hawed while we poked around on the internet.  It became clear that one of two things was happening: either a retinal migraine or a retinal detachment.  Given that I was 30 and the vision loss was transient, a retinal migraine was far more likely than a retinal detachment, but while a migraine is benign, a detachment requires immediate surgery.  I didn’t have a headache, and I didn’t feel any pain, but neither of those elements are necessarily symptoms of either of the maladies.

Consultation over the phone with Tyler’s ER-doctor cousin failed to definitively diagnose a retinal migraine, so I decided to go to a doctor rather than risk my sight.

The problem was that it was late on a Saturday in a very remote part of Colorado.  Thus, we drove 50 miles to the nearest ER, located at a hospital in Cortez, Colorado.  The doctors there were sympathetic but ill-equipped to make a proper diagnosis, so I was immediately referred to an opthamologist.  We left the hospital and met him at his clinic.

Dressed in shorts and a “mountain bike Moab” t-shirt, the doctor was clearly there after normal business hours.  He appeared to be in his 30s, and from my brief conversation I learned that he had gone so far as to get a biomedical engineering masters before changing course and earning an MD.  We immediately established a rapport.

My temporary partial blindness had subsided by the time I made it into the clinic’s chair, and it was not to return again.  Instead, it was replaced by a slight headache and a strong nausea — typical reactions for me when I get my pupils dialated and eyes numbed.

Several close inspections with bright lights and specialized instruments later, the doctor declared that I had very likely experienced a retinal migraine.  My retinas were in fine shape, and nothing else appeared to be amiss inside my eyes.

Diagnosis in hand, I smiled my way out of the clinic, and Tyler drove us back to Rico.  I was near vomiting the entire hour due to the eye drops, and I could barely stand to have my eyes open due to the incompatibility of pupil dilation and bright lights, but I was happy to have closure.

I had learned that my vision was not in jeopardy, and that knowledge was worth the time and expense.

One month: fell a bit short

May 9th, 2012 Comments off

(Part of the One Month to the 1% series of posts)

It turns out that, Instagram aside, it’s really hard to rapidly build wealth.  Which is to say: I fell a bit short on my one-month-to-the-one-percent goal.  OK, a lot short.  Approximately $30k short.

Oh, you want actual revenue numbers?  Sure, I can do that.

  • Amazon’s KDP: $0.70
  • Avantlink: $1.70
  • Total: $2.40

One way to look at that is total failure.  Another way to look at it is as a free coffee!

So what happened?  Although part of the problem was distraction from the YC Combinator interview, I think the bigger issue was the tremendous difficulty of developing and selling a significant product within a short time frame.  That wasn’t helped by my somewhat middling efforts in finding solutions to those product and sales problems.  There were many days with wasted hours.

Going forward, I plan to redouble my efforts.  The motivation is not only to save face. It is also an acknowledgement that my money tree has yielded nearly all its fruit. The need for a replacement becomes ever more pressing as time advances.

What will it be?  Will it be Snaposit? Will it be the revival of Blurity? Maybe something funny like this guy?

Not sure yet, but whatever I end up doing, you can be pretty certain that I’ll pimp it here.

Facebook friend attrition

May 6th, 2012 2 comments

About half a year ago, I started pondering a question: how were my Facebook friendships changing over time?  Or, to be specific: who was unfriending me?

I decided to start taking monthly snapshots of my Facebook friend list, a task made easy by Facebook’s data-export feature.  I imagine a full history could be obtained using the API, but I haven’t explored that.

Since the first snapshot in December, I’ve added 19 friends and lost 10, for a net gain of 9. Many of those I lost have been mundane: a guy I talked to once during my first year at Stanford, a girl who was trying to get me to be her roommate, and several people whose names I didn’t recognize (yikes).  There were a few surprises, but I won’t out them here.

Change in Facebook friends over time

Other than the jump from December to January, when I moved to Colorado, my total number of friends has been pretty stable.  I seem to lose about 0.6% of my friends per month, but I’ve been gaining new friends at about the same rate.

This brings to mind several questions:

  • If I were to stop adding Facebook friends, what would my friend count eventually settle at?
  • How has my true friend count (as opposed to my Facebook “friend” count) been changing over time?
  • What distributions best model the addition and subtraction of Facebook friends?
  • How many of my remaining Facebook friends would I care about unfriending?

To try and address that final point, I went through and classified all of my 346 Facebook friends into two groups: people who would hurt my feelings if they unfriended me, and people who would not hurt my feelings.  Turns out that 140 of them fall into the “oh well” category, which leaves about 200 people that I’d really care about losing.

Interestingly, that’s very similar to Dunbar’s number.  Perhaps that’s the natural lower bound on Facebook friend decay.

 

Progress and a setback

April 30th, 2012 4 comments

(Part of the One Month to the 1% series of posts)

You might be wondering what happened to my one-month-to-the-1% project that I first mentioned three weeks ago.  Been pretty quiet since then, right?

Well, the reason wasn’t that I had given up.  Rather, Tyler and I found out that we had been invited to interview with Y Combinator in Silicon Valley.  For those unfamiliar with YC, it’s basically the Harvard of the startup incubator world (even though it’s arguably not an incubator).  Companies like Reddit, Dropbox, and Airbnb have all come out of it.

Like Harvard, YC is highly selective.  Exact numbers are not published, but consensus seems to be that less than 3% of applicants are accepted.  For comparison, this year Harvard took 5.9% of its undergraduate applicants.

Thus, Tyler and I were thrilled to have our venture make the first cut: YC would fly us to California to interview, meaning we had beat out enough people to have about a 20% chance of making it in.

Frame grab from our YC application video

Everything else took a back seat to preparing for the interview.  I rationalized this because the expected value of getting funded was significantly higher than my goal.

Late last week, we had our interview in Mountain View, CA.  It was a good experience, but unfortunately, we did not get accepted.

Tyler and I remain convinced that we’ve identified a great market opportunity, and we have the technical skills to craft a product to address it, so we will be pushing forward anyway.

As for my other project?  Well, the month isn’t over yet: I turn 30 one week from today.

One billion dollars

April 9th, 2012 2 comments

(Part of the One Month to the 1% series of posts)

I was both inspired and dismayed by today’s news that online photo-sharing/photo-filtering company Instagram had been acquired by Facebook for $1 billion.

I was inspired because it was evidence that times are good in the high-tech startup world.  Companies are being built, money is being made, stories are being formed.  A team of about a dozen people went from zero to $1 billion in just over 24 months.

I was dismayed because of the message it sends to young entrepreneurs: “Don’t focus on actual problems, and certainly don’t take big risks to make the world a better place.  You’ll be rewarded handsomely if you just make silly photo-sharing apps.”

Project status: no progress today.