Vote!
Here’s the obligatory election-day post.
It looks to be a tight race heading into the finish. Regardless of the outcome, it’s likely that there will be numerous legal fights over issues ranging from voter eligibility to fraud from electronic voting machines.
After voting, I plan to follow the election results and analysis. For that, I will turn to The Drudge Report and The Daily Show.
If you’re trying to predict the outcome, you might be interested in reading the last pre-election polls. A slightly more accurate predictor of the popular vote outcome is probably the Iowa Electronic Markets, which allows investors to buy futures for the outcome of the election. As it forces people to “put their money where their mouth is,” the market is rather accurate. The latest prices on the IEM Presidential Winner-Takes-All popular Vote Contest indicate a probability of a Bush victory at less than 1% better than a Kerry victory. The markets do not speak to the Electoral College outcome.
VOTE!
redefeat bush 2004
One of the reasons I like Drudge is that they publish exit poll results before the major media outlets. As of 4:12pm CST, the exit polls show Kerry leading in PA, OH, FL, WI, and MI, among others.
The results are being counted. All we have to do now is play the waiting game…
Aw, the waiting game sucks. Let’s play “Hungry Hungry Hippos!”
Of course, we now see that FL is almost certainly in the Bush column.